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【预告】“百脉大讲坛”第84讲:Emission Accounts and Sustainable Development in Cities
时间:2020-11-19

 

报告题目:Emission Accounts and Sustainable Development in Cities

报告人:单钰理(全球高被引学者)  荷兰格罗宁根大学

报告时间:20201126   16:30——

报告地点:1505(线下);腾讯会议同步直播ID411 600 393

主办单位:统计学院、科研处、大数据与指数研究院、数字统计研究中心

 

 

报告摘要

As national efforts to reduce CO2 emissions intensify, policy-makers need increasingly specific, subnational information about the sources of CO2 and the potential reductions and economic implications of different possible policies. This is particularly true in China, a large and economically diverse country that has rapidly industrialized and urbanized and that has pledged under the Paris Agreement that its emissions will peak by 2030. We present new, city level estimates of CO2 emissions for 182 Chinese cities, decomposed into 17 different fossil fuels, 46 socioeconomic sectors, and 7 industrial processes. We find that more affluent cities have systematically lower emissions per unit of gross domestic product (GDP), supported by imports from less affluent, industrial cities located nearby. In turn, clusters of industrial cities are supported by nearby centers of coal or oil extraction. Whereas policies directly targeting manufacturing and electric power infrastructure would drastically undermine the GDP of industrial cities, consumption based policies might allow emission reductions to be subsidized by those with greater ability to pay. In particular, sector based analysis of each city suggests that technological improvements could be a practical and effective means of reducing emissions while maintaining growth and the current economic structure and energy system. We explore city-level emission reductions under three scenarios of technological progress to show that substantial reductions (up to 31%) are possible by updating a disproportionately small fraction of existing infrastructure.

 

报告人简介:

单钰理,现就职于荷兰格罗宁根大学,是英国丁铎尔气候变化研究中心成员,是全球1‰高被引学者(科睿唯安web of science)。曾荣获包括德国绿色精英奖国家优秀非公派留学生奖学金在内的十余项学术荣誉,是政府间气候变化专门委员会IPCC第六次评估报告合作者、Journal of Cleaner Production期刊编辑委员会成员、Frontiers in Sustainable Cities期刊副主编、全国投入产出与大数据研究会首届海外常务理事。

单钰理先后毕业于东英吉利大学、复旦大学,主要研究领域为碳排放核算、区域可持续发展、能源环境政策、气候变化经济学等。其结合自然科学和社会科学的多领域交叉研究成果得到学界的普遍认可,近三年在国际顶级期刊发表多篇论文,其中10余篇入选ESI热点论文和高被引论文。论文被正面引用3000余次,H指数24,并被包括中国国际电视台、新华社、路透社、金融时报等在内的多家媒体报道。其参与搭建的中国碳排放数据库CEADs2016年上线以来,注册用户超过2000余人,累计下载万余次,被百余篇研究论文使用。